## Random Handicaps

The magic of this system is that you only need to win 36% of your bet ( 1/3 ) to make a profit. You can select your own game or you can find free picks from a lot of handicappers online. Reaching a 50% winning rate is very easy with good free picks. Go to Google and search for “Free Picks”. You’ll find a lot of handicappers who are offering daily free picks.

Ok, Now the system.

First, you need to know how to calculate your bet. So the formula is AMOUNT TO BET / (INTERNATIONAL ODDS – 1).

Let’s say you want to bet $50 at 2.20. $50 / (2.20-1) = $50 / 1.20 = $41.66

You need to bet $41.66 to win $50. $41.66 X 2.20 = $91.66 – $41.66 = $50

The system is very simple. When you lose a game, you will always bet the total of your last two bets.

Let’s see what happen with a 37.5% winning rate and a $50 first bet.

L-L-L-W-L-L-W-W

Write down the $50 you want to make.

The odds are 1.91

You bet $54.95 to win $50

You lose.

Write down the $54.95 bet next to the $50 you had written down.

It should look like this.

$50 + $54.95

The odds are 2.15

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets (assuming that $50 was a bet) / (2.15 – 1). So it’s $104.95 / 1.15 = $91.26

You should bet $91.26

You lose.

Write down the $91.26 bet next to the previous two bets. Now it looks like this.

$50 + $54.95 + $91.26

The odds are 1.83

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (1.83 – 1). So it’s $146.21 / 0.83 = $176.16

You should bet $176.16

You lose.

Write down the $176.16 bet next to the previous three bets. Now it looks like this.

$50 + $54.95 + $91.26 + $176.16

The odds are 2.10

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (2.10 – 1). So it’s $267.42 / 1.10 = $243.11

You should bet $243.11

You win.

Cross out the last two bets you have written down. You do this (cross out the last two bets) only after a win. That leaves you with the $50 bet and the $54.95 bet. Now it looks like this.

$50 + $54.95

The odds are 1.99

Your next bet is the total of the two bets we have written down / (1.99 – 1). So in our case it’s $104.95 / 0.99 = $106.01

Your next bet should be $106.01

You lose.

Write down this bet next to the previous two bets. It looks like this.

$50 + $54.95 + $106.01

The odds are 1.75

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (1.75 – 1). So it’s $160.96 / 0.75 = $214.61

Your bet should be $214.61

You lose.

Write down this bet next to the previous three bets.

$50 + $54.95 + $106.01 + 214.61

The odds are 2.45

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (2.45 – 1). So it’s $320.62 / 1.45 = $221.12.

Your bet should be $221.12.

You win.

Cross out these two bets. That leaves us with…

$50 + $54.95 + $106.01 + $214.61

The odds are 1.90

Your next bet is the total of the two remaining bets / (1.90 – 1). So it’s $104.95 / 0.90 = $116.61

You should bet $116.61

You win.

The session is over. You have recovered from all your loses and made a $50 profit.

You won 3 bet and lost 5 bets. Winning rate: 37.5%

Now, here’s a simulation of a real year of betting with a 50% winning rate. 50% winning rate is just like flipping a coin. This is a simulation showing 4 months (120 days) of betting.

In this simulation, we’ll assume that the odds are always –110 (1.91). Sometimes the odds are higher and sometimes odds are lower. So –110 (1.91) is a realistic average.

Remember, 50% winning rates is easy to achieve because if you flip a coin, this is the W/R you’ll get on the long run.

Let’s say you start with a $2500 bankroll and your first bet is $50.

Day Win/Lose Bet Amount Cash Net

1 w $55 $50 $2550

2 L $55 -$55 $2495

3 L $115 -$115 $2380

4 w $187 $170 $2550

5 L $55 -$55 $2495

6 w $115 $105 $2600

7 w $55 $50 $2650

8 L $55 -$55 $2595

9 L $115 -$115 $2480

10 w $187 $170 $2650

11 L $55 -$50 $2600

12 w $115 $105 $2705

13 w $55 $50 $2755

14 L $55 -$55 $2700

15 w $115 $105 $2805

16 L $55 -$55 $2750

17 L $115 -$115 $2635

18 w $187 $170 $2805

19 L $55 -$55 $2750

20 w $115 $105 $2855

21 w $55 $50 $2905

22 L $55 -$55 $2850

23 L $115 -$115 $2735

24 L $187 -$187 $2548

25 w $332 $302 $2850

26 w $115 $105 $2955

27 L $55 -$55 $2900

28 L $115 -$115 $2785

29 w $187 $170 $2955

30 w $55 $50 $3005

After 30 days, with only one bet a day, you’ve made an easy $500 profit.

31 w $55 $50 $3055

32 L $55 -$55 $3000

33 L $115 -$115 $2885

34 w $187 $170 $3055

35 L $55 -$55 $3000

36 w $115 $105 $3105

37 L $55 -$55 $3050

38 w $115 $105 $3155

39 w $55 $50 $3205

40 L $55 -$55 $3150

41 w $115 $105 $3255

42 L $55 -$55 $3200

43 L $115 -$115 $3085

44 L $187 -$187 $2898

45 L $332 -$332 $2566

46 w $571 $519 $3085

47 w $187 $170 $3255

48 w $55 $50 $3305

49 L $55 -$55 $3250

50 L $115 -$115 $3135

51 L $187 -$187 $2948

52 w $332 $302 $3250

53 w $115 $105 $3355

54 w $55 $50 $3405

55 L $55 -$55 $3350

56 w $115 $105 $3455

57 w $55 $50 $3505

58 L $55 -$55 $3450

59 w $115 $105 $3555

60 L $55 -$55 $3500

After 2 months, you’ve made $1000 profit.

Now let’s look at the next month with a very bad W/R of 43.3% and some bad losing streaks

61 L $55 -$55 $3445

62 w $115 $105 $3550

63 w $55 $50 $3600

64 L $55 -$55 $3545

65 L $115 -$115 $3430

66 L $187 -$187 $3243

67 w $332 $302 $3545

68 L $115 -$115 $3430

69 L $187 -$187 $3243

70 w $332 $302 $3545

71 L $115 -$115 $3430

72 w $187 $170 $3600

73 L $55 -$55 $3545

74 L $115 -$115 $3430

75 L $187 -$187 $3243

76 L $332 -$332 $2911

77 L $571 -$571 $2340

78 w $993 $903 $3243

79 w $332 $302 $3545

80 L $115 -$115 $3430

81 w $187 $170 $3600

82 w $55 $50 $3650

83 w $55 $50 $3700

84 L $55 -$55 $3645

85 L $115 -$115 $3530

86 L $187 -$187 $3343

87 w $332 $302 $3645

88 w $115 $105 $3750

89 L $55 -$55 $3695

90 w $115 $105 $3800

Now, you see that even with a poor W/R of 43.3%, you’ve made a profit of $300. Not bad. With flat betting, you would have lost $258.50.

Let’s take a look now at a better month. Lets see if you hit 56% winning rate.

91 w $55 $50 $3850

92 L $55 -$55 $3795

93 w $115 $105 $3900

94 L $55 -$55$ $3845

95 w $115 $105 $3950

96 w $55 $50 $4000

97 w $55 $50 $4050

98 w $55 $50 $4100

99 w $55 $50 $4150

100 L $55 -$55$ $4095

101 L $115 -$115 $3980

102 L $187 -$187 $3793

103 w $332 $302 $4095

104 w $115 $105 $4200

105 L $55 -$55 $4145

106 L $115 -$115 $4030

107 w $187 $170 $4200

108 L $55 -$55 $4145

109 L $115 -$115 $4030

110 w $187 $170 $4200

111 w $55 $50 $4250

112 w $55 $50 $4300

113 w $55 $50 $4350

114 L $55 -$55 $4295

115 L $115 -$115 $4180

116 w $187 $170 $4350

117 L $55 -$55 $4295

118 L $115 -$115 $4180

119 w $187 $170 $4350

120 w $55 -$50 $4400

You can see that after 4 months, with a winning rate of 50%, a bad month, some losing streak, you’ve made $1900 in pure profit.

Now, as soon as you doubled you bankroll ($5000 here), you start your session with a target of $100. That means a bet of $110 at odds –110 (1.91).

You will be able to make an easy $1000 a month.

If you reach a point where your bet size is too high for you and you are reluctant to do so, then split your bet into two equal numbers or into 3 equal numbers, by writing them down and bet on the sum of the first two numbers. This will extend a bit the time of the end of the run, but will avoid reaching a bet size that is too high for you.

Ok, Now the system.

First, you need to know how to calculate your bet. So the formula is AMOUNT TO BET / (INTERNATIONAL ODDS – 1).

Let’s say you want to bet $50 at 2.20. $50 / (2.20-1) = $50 / 1.20 = $41.66

You need to bet $41.66 to win $50. $41.66 X 2.20 = $91.66 – $41.66 = $50

The system is very simple. When you lose a game, you will always bet the total of your last two bets.

Let’s see what happen with a 37.5% winning rate and a $50 first bet.

L-L-L-W-L-L-W-W

**Day 1**Write down the $50 you want to make.

The odds are 1.91

You bet $54.95 to win $50

You lose.

Write down the $54.95 bet next to the $50 you had written down.

It should look like this.

$50 + $54.95

**Day 2**The odds are 2.15

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets (assuming that $50 was a bet) / (2.15 – 1). So it’s $104.95 / 1.15 = $91.26

You should bet $91.26

You lose.

Write down the $91.26 bet next to the previous two bets. Now it looks like this.

$50 + $54.95 + $91.26

**Day 3**The odds are 1.83

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (1.83 – 1). So it’s $146.21 / 0.83 = $176.16

You should bet $176.16

You lose.

Write down the $176.16 bet next to the previous three bets. Now it looks like this.

$50 + $54.95 + $91.26 + $176.16

**Day 4**The odds are 2.10

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (2.10 – 1). So it’s $267.42 / 1.10 = $243.11

You should bet $243.11

You win.

Cross out the last two bets you have written down. You do this (cross out the last two bets) only after a win. That leaves you with the $50 bet and the $54.95 bet. Now it looks like this.

$50 + $54.95

**Day 5**The odds are 1.99

Your next bet is the total of the two bets we have written down / (1.99 – 1). So in our case it’s $104.95 / 0.99 = $106.01

Your next bet should be $106.01

You lose.

Write down this bet next to the previous two bets. It looks like this.

$50 + $54.95 + $106.01

**Day 6**The odds are 1.75

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (1.75 – 1). So it’s $160.96 / 0.75 = $214.61

Your bet should be $214.61

You lose.

Write down this bet next to the previous three bets.

$50 + $54.95 + $106.01 + 214.61

**Day 7**The odds are 2.45

Your next bet is the total of the last two bets / (2.45 – 1). So it’s $320.62 / 1.45 = $221.12.

Your bet should be $221.12.

You win.

Cross out these two bets. That leaves us with…

$50 + $54.95 + $106.01 + $214.61

**Day 8**The odds are 1.90

Your next bet is the total of the two remaining bets / (1.90 – 1). So it’s $104.95 / 0.90 = $116.61

You should bet $116.61

You win.

The session is over. You have recovered from all your loses and made a $50 profit.

You won 3 bet and lost 5 bets. Winning rate: 37.5%

Now, here’s a simulation of a real year of betting with a 50% winning rate. 50% winning rate is just like flipping a coin. This is a simulation showing 4 months (120 days) of betting.

In this simulation, we’ll assume that the odds are always –110 (1.91). Sometimes the odds are higher and sometimes odds are lower. So –110 (1.91) is a realistic average.

Remember, 50% winning rates is easy to achieve because if you flip a coin, this is the W/R you’ll get on the long run.

Let’s say you start with a $2500 bankroll and your first bet is $50.

Day Win/Lose Bet Amount Cash Net

1 w $55 $50 $2550

2 L $55 -$55 $2495

3 L $115 -$115 $2380

4 w $187 $170 $2550

5 L $55 -$55 $2495

6 w $115 $105 $2600

7 w $55 $50 $2650

8 L $55 -$55 $2595

9 L $115 -$115 $2480

10 w $187 $170 $2650

11 L $55 -$50 $2600

12 w $115 $105 $2705

13 w $55 $50 $2755

14 L $55 -$55 $2700

15 w $115 $105 $2805

16 L $55 -$55 $2750

17 L $115 -$115 $2635

18 w $187 $170 $2805

19 L $55 -$55 $2750

20 w $115 $105 $2855

21 w $55 $50 $2905

22 L $55 -$55 $2850

23 L $115 -$115 $2735

24 L $187 -$187 $2548

25 w $332 $302 $2850

26 w $115 $105 $2955

27 L $55 -$55 $2900

28 L $115 -$115 $2785

29 w $187 $170 $2955

30 w $55 $50 $3005

After 30 days, with only one bet a day, you’ve made an easy $500 profit.

31 w $55 $50 $3055

32 L $55 -$55 $3000

33 L $115 -$115 $2885

34 w $187 $170 $3055

35 L $55 -$55 $3000

36 w $115 $105 $3105

37 L $55 -$55 $3050

38 w $115 $105 $3155

39 w $55 $50 $3205

40 L $55 -$55 $3150

41 w $115 $105 $3255

42 L $55 -$55 $3200

43 L $115 -$115 $3085

44 L $187 -$187 $2898

45 L $332 -$332 $2566

46 w $571 $519 $3085

47 w $187 $170 $3255

48 w $55 $50 $3305

49 L $55 -$55 $3250

50 L $115 -$115 $3135

51 L $187 -$187 $2948

52 w $332 $302 $3250

53 w $115 $105 $3355

54 w $55 $50 $3405

55 L $55 -$55 $3350

56 w $115 $105 $3455

57 w $55 $50 $3505

58 L $55 -$55 $3450

59 w $115 $105 $3555

60 L $55 -$55 $3500

After 2 months, you’ve made $1000 profit.

Now let’s look at the next month with a very bad W/R of 43.3% and some bad losing streaks

61 L $55 -$55 $3445

62 w $115 $105 $3550

63 w $55 $50 $3600

64 L $55 -$55 $3545

65 L $115 -$115 $3430

66 L $187 -$187 $3243

67 w $332 $302 $3545

68 L $115 -$115 $3430

69 L $187 -$187 $3243

70 w $332 $302 $3545

71 L $115 -$115 $3430

72 w $187 $170 $3600

73 L $55 -$55 $3545

74 L $115 -$115 $3430

75 L $187 -$187 $3243

76 L $332 -$332 $2911

77 L $571 -$571 $2340

78 w $993 $903 $3243

79 w $332 $302 $3545

80 L $115 -$115 $3430

81 w $187 $170 $3600

82 w $55 $50 $3650

83 w $55 $50 $3700

84 L $55 -$55 $3645

85 L $115 -$115 $3530

86 L $187 -$187 $3343

87 w $332 $302 $3645

88 w $115 $105 $3750

89 L $55 -$55 $3695

90 w $115 $105 $3800

Now, you see that even with a poor W/R of 43.3%, you’ve made a profit of $300. Not bad. With flat betting, you would have lost $258.50.

Let’s take a look now at a better month. Lets see if you hit 56% winning rate.

91 w $55 $50 $3850

92 L $55 -$55 $3795

93 w $115 $105 $3900

94 L $55 -$55$ $3845

95 w $115 $105 $3950

96 w $55 $50 $4000

97 w $55 $50 $4050

98 w $55 $50 $4100

99 w $55 $50 $4150

100 L $55 -$55$ $4095

101 L $115 -$115 $3980

102 L $187 -$187 $3793

103 w $332 $302 $4095

104 w $115 $105 $4200

105 L $55 -$55 $4145

106 L $115 -$115 $4030

107 w $187 $170 $4200

108 L $55 -$55 $4145

109 L $115 -$115 $4030

110 w $187 $170 $4200

111 w $55 $50 $4250

112 w $55 $50 $4300

113 w $55 $50 $4350

114 L $55 -$55 $4295

115 L $115 -$115 $4180

116 w $187 $170 $4350

117 L $55 -$55 $4295

118 L $115 -$115 $4180

119 w $187 $170 $4350

120 w $55 -$50 $4400

You can see that after 4 months, with a winning rate of 50%, a bad month, some losing streak, you’ve made $1900 in pure profit.

Now, as soon as you doubled you bankroll ($5000 here), you start your session with a target of $100. That means a bet of $110 at odds –110 (1.91).

You will be able to make an easy $1000 a month.

If you reach a point where your bet size is too high for you and you are reluctant to do so, then split your bet into two equal numbers or into 3 equal numbers, by writing them down and bet on the sum of the first two numbers. This will extend a bit the time of the end of the run, but will avoid reaching a bet size that is too high for you.